SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 14.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Charleroi |
65.31% ( -0.03) | 19.97% ( -0.08) | 14.71% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.51% ( 0.58) | 43.49% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( 0.57) | 65.88% ( -0.57) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( 0.17) | 12.51% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.48% ( 0.35) | 38.52% ( -0.35) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% ( 0.51) | 41.9% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.65% ( 0.44) | 78.35% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 65.3% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.97% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.61% Total : 14.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 66 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | GentGent | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Leuven | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 27 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 26 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 20 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
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