SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 72.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Kortrijk |
72.53% ( -0.03) | 16.56% ( 0.02) | 10.91% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.06) | 37.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.07) | 59.24% ( 0.06) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.09% ( -0.02) | 8.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.56% ( -0.05) | 30.44% ( 0.05) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.25% ( -0.04) | 43.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.08% ( -0.03) | 79.91% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 72.53% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 16.56% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 10.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 25 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 56 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 53 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 43 |
| 5 | GentGent | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Sint-Truiden | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Leuven | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 32 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 27 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 25 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 22 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 20 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 19 |
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