SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Westerlo |
35.64% ( -0.39) | 24.29% ( 0.04) | 40.06% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.24) | 42.44% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( -0.24) | 64.84% ( 0.24) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.32) | 23.52% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.43% ( -0.46) | 57.56% ( 0.46) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( 0.06) | 21.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.79% ( 0.1) | 54.2% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 35.65% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Union SGUnion SG | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 38 |
| 2 | Anderlecht | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
| 3 | GentGent | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | Club BruggeBrugge | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Genk | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 7 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Sint-Truiden | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | MechelenMechelen | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
| 11 | RWD MolenbeekRWDM | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | EupenEupen | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 15 |
| 14 | Leuven | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Westerlo | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 | KortrijkKortrijk | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 33 | -22 | 10 |
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