SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Kortrijk |
54.34% ( 0.3) | 21.53% ( -0.08) | 24.12% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.59% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( 0.13) | 36.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( 0.14) | 58.15% ( -0.14) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( 0.13) | 13.36% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.74% ( 0.27) | 40.26% ( -0.27) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.11) | 27.75% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.68% ( -0.13) | 63.32% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.9% Total : 54.34% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 24.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 50 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | GentGent | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 39 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | Sint-Truiden | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 35 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Leuven | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 32 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | EupenEupen | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | KortrijkKortrijk | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 21 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 18 |
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