SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 64.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Brugge | Draw | Leuven |
64.86% ( 0.57) | 18.36% ( -0.01) | 16.77% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 61.9% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.48% ( -1.1) | 31.51% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47% ( -1.31) | 52.99% ( 1.3) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.8% ( -0.17) | 9.19% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.86% ( -0.42) | 31.13% ( 0.41) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( -1.32) | 31.83% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.73% ( -1.54) | 68.26% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Brugge | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.86% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.36% | 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.1% Total : 16.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 62 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | GentGent | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 38 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 35 |
| 8 | Sint-Truiden | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Leuven | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | EupenEupen | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 22 |
| 15 | KortrijkKortrijk | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 22 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 20 |
| 17 | RFC Seraing | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 18 |
| 18 | KV OostendeOostende | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 18 |
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