SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Leuven win it was 2-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Genk |
14.5% ( -0.48) | 17.45% ( -0.42) | 68.05% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.12% ( 1) | 31.88% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.58% ( 1.16) | 53.42% ( -1.16) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.04) | 34.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.48% ( 0.04) | 71.51% ( -0.04) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.41% ( 0.46) | 8.59% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.34% ( 1.12) | 29.66% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 14.5% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.45% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 7.37% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 4.77% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 4.52% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 2.34% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0.12)2-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)1-6 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)0-6 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.48% Total : 68.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 71 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 63 |
| 4 | GentGent | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 54 |
| 5 | Club BruggeBrugge | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 48 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 45 |
| 9 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 | Leuven | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 63 | -24 | 27 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 24 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 24 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 31 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 26 | 63 | -37 | 19 |
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