SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Zulte Waregem win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zulte Waregem | Draw | Leuven |
32.96% ( 0.35) | 25.17% ( 0.16) | 41.87% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.58) | 47.05% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( -0.55) | 69.29% ( 0.55) |
| Zulte Waregem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -0.07) | 27.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.3% ( -0.09) | 62.7% ( 0.09) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.49) | 22.4% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.09% ( -0.74) | 55.91% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zulte Waregem | Draw | Leuven |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 66 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | GentGent | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | CharleroiCharleroi | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Leuven | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 27 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 26 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 23 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
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