SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Anderlecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Anderlecht |
29.07% ( 0.28) | 25.46% ( 0.08) | 45.46% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( -0.17) | 49.88% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( -0.15) | 71.87% ( 0.15) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.13) | 31.31% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.33% ( 0.15) | 67.66% ( -0.15) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0.24) | 21.92% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.8% ( -0.36) | 55.19% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 62 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | GentGent | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 38 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 35 |
| 8 | Sint-Truiden | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Leuven | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | EupenEupen | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 22 |
| 15 | KortrijkKortrijk | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 22 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 20 |
| 17 | RFC Seraing | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 18 |
| 18 | KV OostendeOostende | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 18 |
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