Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.