SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.79%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Gomel win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | BATE Borisov |
16.38% ( -0.36) | 25.13% ( -0.3) | 58.49% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 39.81% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.67% ( 0.48) | 60.33% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.51% ( 0.37) | 80.49% ( -0.37) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.19% ( -0.19) | 49.81% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.48% ( -0.13) | 84.52% ( 0.13) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( 0.46) | 20.69% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.71% ( 0.72) | 53.28% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.38% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 16.23% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 12.79% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 58.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 21 |
| 2 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | BATE BorisovBATE | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Neman | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | IslochIsloch | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | SlutskSlutsk | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Gomel | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Naftan | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
| 15 | BelshinaBelshina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2 |
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