SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Dinamo Brest win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
49.7% ( -0.6) | 25.99% ( 0.14) | 24.32% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% ( -0.14) | 55.08% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% ( -0.11) | 76.33% ( 0.12) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.32) | 22.21% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.38% ( -0.48) | 55.62% ( 0.49) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( 0.35) | 37.98% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( 0.34) | 74.75% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.61% Total : 24.32% |
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