SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
38.53% ( -0.4) | 26.85% ( 0.19) | 34.61% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( -0.74) | 53.87% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( -0.63) | 75.33% ( 0.62) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.57) | 27.22% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.36% ( -0.75) | 62.63% ( 0.75) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( -0.23) | 29.56% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.4% ( -0.29) | 65.59% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 21 |
| 2 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Neman | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | BATE BorisovBATE | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | IslochIsloch | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | SlutskSlutsk | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Gomel | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | BelshinaBelshina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Naftan | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
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