Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.