Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Dnepr Mogilev.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belshina 1-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Saturday, July 2 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League
Saturday, July 2 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 14 | -10 | 10 |
| 14 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 13 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 13 | -13 | 7 |
Last Game: Dnepr Mogilev 2-4 FC Minsk
Monday, July 4 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Monday, July 4 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 13 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 13 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 13 | -16 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
45.63% ( -0.18) | 26.22% ( 0.26) | 28.15% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.57% ( -1.08) | 53.43% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( -0.92) | 74.96% ( 0.92) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( -0.55) | 23.36% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.67% ( -0.8) | 57.33% ( 0.8) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0.64) | 33.86% ( 0.64) |
