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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gomel in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Slutsk |
42.22% ( -0.12) | 27.51% ( 0.07) | 30.27% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% ( -0.24) | 57.38% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% ( -0.19) | 78.2% ( 0.19) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.17) | 26.84% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.86% ( -0.23) | 62.14% ( 0.23) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( -0.09) | 34.34% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.96% ( -0.09) | 71.04% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Slutsk |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 42.22% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 72 | 21 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Neman | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 62 |
| 3 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | BATE BorisovBATE | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | IslochIsloch | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gomel | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
| 7 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | SlutskSlutsk | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 33 |
| 10 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 30 |
| 11 | Smorgon | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 58 | -28 | 25 |
| 12 | Naftan | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 21 |
| 13 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 4 |
| 15 | BelshinaBelshina | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 61 | -40 | 3 |
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