SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Cordoba win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Cordoba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Sarmiento |
49.47% ( 0.5) | 26.69% ( -0.21) | 23.83% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.04% ( 0.49) | 57.96% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% ( 0.39) | 78.66% ( -0.39) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.44) | 23.53% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.42% ( 0.64) | 57.57% ( -0.64) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% ( -0) | 40.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.31% ( -0) | 76.69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 49.47% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.35% Total : 23.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | TalleresTalleres | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 27 |
| 6 | BelgranoBelgrano | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | Rosario CentralRosario | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | LanusLanus | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
| 9 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | TigreTigre | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 18 |
| 15 | Racing ClubRacing | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 | ColonColon | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 | Barracas Central | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 17 |
| 20 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 17 |
| 21 | Instituto | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
| 22 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| 23 | HuracanHuracan | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 24 | BanfieldBanfield | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 15 |
| 25 | IndependienteIndependiente | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 14 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
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