SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Gimnasia |
38.39% ( 0.24) | 29% ( 0.27) | 32.6% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 44.57% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.94% ( -0.97) | 62.06% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% ( -0.72) | 81.78% ( 0.72) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.34) | 31.29% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.35% ( -0.4) | 67.65% ( 0.4) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.87) | 35.12% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.13% ( -0.93) | 71.87% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 9 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 35 |
| 3 | TalleresTalleres | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 31 |
| 4 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Rosario CentralRosario | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 29 |
| 7 | LanusLanus | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | BelgranoBelgrano | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 24 |
| 11 | Sarmiento | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 12 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 23 |
| 13 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | TigreTigre | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 22 |
| 15 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 22 |
| 16 | Platense | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 20 |
| 17 | Instituto | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 20 |
| 18 | Barracas Central | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
| 19 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | ColonColon | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
| 21 | HuracanHuracan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 18 |
| 22 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 23 | Racing ClubRacing | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
| 24 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 25 | IndependienteIndependiente | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 17 |
| 26 | BanfieldBanfield | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 15 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 14 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 12 |
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