SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
47.32% ( 0.35) | 26.6% ( 0.49) | 26.08% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% ( -2.37) | 56.08% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( -1.96) | 77.15% ( 1.96) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( -0.85) | 23.71% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.17% ( -1.24) | 57.83% ( 1.25) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( -1.99) | 36.97% ( 1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.24% ( -2.03) | 73.76% ( 2.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.37)2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 37 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | TalleresTalleres | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | BelgranoBelgrano | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | LanusLanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 9 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 10 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 | Sarmiento | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 22 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 14 | TigreTigre | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Platense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 17 | Instituto | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Barracas Central | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 18 |
| 20 | Racing ClubRacing | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
| 21 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 22 | ColonColon | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 23 | IndependienteIndependiente | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 17 |
| 24 | HuracanHuracan | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 17 |
| 25 | BanfieldBanfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 15 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 14 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 14 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 9 |
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