MX23RW : Wednesday, October 12 18:49:32
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Sep 12, 2022 at 9pm UK
Sarmiento
1 - 2
Independiente
Femia (49')
Lopez (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (75', 77')
Romero (45+1'), Barreto (61'), Marcone (79')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 1-0 Sarmiento
Friday, September 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Aldosivi
Thursday, September 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawIndependiente
32.54% (-0.204 -0.2) 28.02% (-0.101 -0.1) 39.44% (0.302 0.3)
Both teams to score 47.33% (0.237 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36% (0.317 0.32)58.64% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81% (0.246 0.25)79.19% (-0.248 -0.25)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (0.022000000000006 0.02)33.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (0.025000000000002 0.03)69.98% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (0.32900000000001 0.33)28.98% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (0.407 0.41)64.88% (-0.408 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 32.54%
    Independiente 39.44%
    Draw 28.01%
SarmientoDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.54%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.42% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 39.44%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union 1-0 Sarmiento
Friday, September 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aldosivi 1-2 Sarmiento
Saturday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, August 28 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Sarmiento
Tuesday, August 23 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-2 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, August 16 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 4-1 Sarmiento
Friday, August 12 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Aldosivi
Thursday, September 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Independiente
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Independiente
Sunday, August 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Huracan
Wednesday, August 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, August 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
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Argentine Primera Division Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Racing ClubRacing1486025101530
2River PlateRiver Plate1492331121929
3Defensa y JusticiaDefensa147432619725
4Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs147432116525
5GimnasiaGimnasia147342420424
6Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB147251715223
7Sarmiento146351724-721
8BanfieldBanfield145451815319
9UnionUnion145271113-217
10San Lorenzo143651517-215
11Atletico TucumanTucuman142571323-1011
12TalleresTalleres14329921-1211
13Platense142481223-1110
14PatronatoPatronato1431101025-1510
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