SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | San Lorenzo |
26.49% ( 2.59) | 28.96% ( -0.24) | 44.55% ( -2.35) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.21% ( 2.05) | 63.78% ( -2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.97% ( 1.44) | 83.03% ( -1.44) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% ( 3.59) | 40.93% ( -3.6) |
