SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.7%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | River Plate |
14.75% ( 0.01) | 22.16% ( 0.01) | 63.08% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( 0) | 52.45% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% ( 0) | 74.12% ( -0) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.68% ( 0.02) | 47.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.27% ( 0.02) | 82.72% ( -0.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( -0) | 16.08% ( 0.01) |
