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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Aug 1, 2022 at 11pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa
0 - 0
Arsenal
 
FT

Navas (45+1'), Miloc (55')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 1-2 Defensa
Monday, July 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Rosario
Wednesday, July 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArsenal Sarandi
58.61% (0.238 0.24) 23.64% (-0.125 -0.13) 17.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.04% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (0.305 0.31)53.33% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (0.259 0.26)74.88% (-0.262 -0.26)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.19900000000001 0.2)17.95% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21% (0.343 0.34)48.79% (-0.345 -0.34)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.11% (0.038000000000004 0.04)43.88% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.032 0.03)80.03% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 58.6%
    Arsenal Sarandi 17.74%
    Draw 23.64%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 13.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 17.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-2 Defensa
Monday, July 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Independiente
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Defensa
Friday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 3-2 Aldosivi
Monday, July 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Defensa
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Rosario
Wednesday, July 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, July 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Platense
Saturday, July 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, July 9 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Estudiantes
Monday, July 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Arsenal
Monday, June 27 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group A
1HuracanHuracan6402104612
2ColonColon6402107312
3IndependienteIndependiente632164211
4River PlateRiver Plate6312128410
5TalleresTalleres6312106410
6Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs63121211110
7Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield731378-110
8Instituto62314229
9Atletico TucumanTucuman62314319
10BanfieldBanfield62135507
11GimnasiaGimnasia6204511-66
12Barracas Central6204412-86
13Rosario CentralRosario612358-35
14Arsenal SarandiArsenal6105611-53
Group B
1Racing ClubRacing633096312
2BelgranoBelgrano624084410
3Defensa y JusticiaDefensa62317529
4Sarmiento62314229
5Central CordobaC. Cordoba630369-39
6Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB62226518
7Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz61506518
8San Lorenzo61505418
9Boca Juniors62137527
10UnionUnion61416517
11Platense6213610-47
12TigreTigre713326-46
13EstudiantesEstudiantes612347-35
14LanusLanus603347-33
 
First Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate27194450203061
2TalleresTalleres27148542231950
3San Lorenzo271210523131046
4LanusLanus27129638271145
5EstudiantesEstudiantes27129635241145
6Defensa y JusticiaDefensa27128736231344
7Boca Juniors2713593324944
8Rosario CentralRosario27101253629742
9Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2711883732541
10Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2711793122940
11Atletico TucumanTucuman2791082527-237
12Racing ClubRacing279993635136
13BelgranoBelgrano27106112026-636
14Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2781182424035
15Barracas Central2781182530-535
16TigreTigre2797112729-234
17Platense2797112629-334
18Instituto2788112435-1132
19Sarmiento2779112326-330
20UnionUnion2761291925-630
21BanfieldBanfield2779112132-1130
22GimnasiaGimnasia2779112438-1430
23Central CordobaC. Cordoba2778122030-1029
24IndependienteIndependiente27610112332-928
25Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27512102427-327
26HuracanHuracan2767141829-1125
27ColonColon27413102033-1325
28Arsenal SarandiArsenal2764171834-1622
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