Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.