SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 76.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 6.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.67%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.25%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Botswana |
76.9% ( 0.52) | 16.53% ( -0.29) | 6.57% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 32.76% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( 0.39) | 51.24% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( 0.34) | 73.07% ( -0.34) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.48% ( 0.26) | 11.51% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.59% ( 0.55) | 36.4% ( -0.55) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.03% ( -0.38) | 62.97% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.9% ( -0.18) | 92.1% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Botswana |
| 2-0 @ 16.93% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 15.67% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 76.88% | 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.54% Total : 6.57% |
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