SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Egypt |
21.51% ( -0.1) | 26.71% ( 0.07) | 51.79% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.34% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.09% ( -0.34) | 59.91% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.83% ( -0.26) | 80.17% ( 0.25) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.52% ( -0.3) | 43.48% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.31% ( -0.25) | 79.69% ( 0.25) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( -0.13) | 23.33% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( -0.19) | 57.28% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Egypt |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.51% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 14.76% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.74% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.78% |
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