SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Mauritania |
37.11% ( -0.13) | 29.48% ( -0.05) | 33.41% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.43% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.49% ( 0.17) | 63.51% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.16% ( 0.12) | 82.84% ( -0.13) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.01) | 32.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( 0.01) | 69.41% ( -0.01) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( 0.22) | 35.33% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( 0.23) | 72.09% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.1% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.47% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 33.4% |
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