SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
34.27% ( -0.19) | 23.23% ( 0) | 42.49% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.45% ( -0.08) | 37.55% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.22% ( -0.09) | 59.78% ( 0.09) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -0.14) | 22% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.68% ( -0.21) | 55.31% ( 0.21) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( 0.04) | 18.13% ( -0.04) |
