SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.29% ( -0.05) | 24.64% ( 0.07) | 43.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.31) | 44.92% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -0.3) | 67.27% ( 0.3) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.18) | 26.65% ( 0.18) |
