Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
41.18% ( 0.55) | 24.73% ( 0.05) | 34.09% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.22% ( -0.38) | 44.78% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% ( -0.37) | 67.14% ( 0.36) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.24% ( 0.1) | 21.75% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.06% ( 0.15) | 54.94% ( -0.15) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( -0.53) | 25.5% ( 0.53) |