SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
39.5% ( 0.24) | 24.63% ( 0.13) | 35.87% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.97% ( -0.67) | 44.03% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( -0.65) | 66.41% ( 0.65) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.18) | 22.24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.26) | 55.67% ( 0.26) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.51) | 24.13% ( 0.5) |
