Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
