SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
33.05% ( -0.03) | 27.86% ( -0.02) | 39.09% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42% ( 0.05) | 57.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( 0.04) | 78.68% ( -0.04) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( 0) | 32.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.77% ( 0) | 69.22% |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( 0.06) | 28.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.26% ( 0.07) | 64.74% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.04% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 11.72% 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | SJKSJK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Oulu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 2 | IlvesIlves | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | HakaHaka | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 4 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 5 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
| 6 | KTP | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Oulu | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | HakaHaka | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | IlvesIlves | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | KTP | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 15 |
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