SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Honka had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Honka |
45.56% ( -0.35) | 27.4% ( 0.17) | 27.04% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.58% ( -0.51) | 58.42% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% ( -0.4) | 79.02% ( 0.4) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.4) | 25.6% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.52% ( -0.55) | 60.48% ( 0.55) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.13) | 37.45% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.77% ( -0.13) | 74.23% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | SJKSJK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Oulu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 2 | IlvesIlves | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | HakaHaka | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 4 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 5 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
| 6 | KTP | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Oulu | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | HakaHaka | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | IlvesIlves | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | KTP | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 15 |
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