SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Honka had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Honka |
47.39% ( 0.07) | 26.84% ( -0.13) | 25.78% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( 0.5) | 57.14% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( 0.4) | 78.01% ( -0.39) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( 0.25) | 24.14% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.55% ( 0.35) | 58.45% ( -0.35) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( 0.33) | 37.82% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.41% ( 0.32) | 74.6% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 17 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Oulu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | HakaHaka | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | IlvesIlves | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | KTP | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Inter Turku | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
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