SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for SJK had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | KuPS |
30.32% ( -0) | 25.99% ( -0) | 43.69% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( 0.01) | 51.5% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( 0) | 73.3% ( -0) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( 0) | 31.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.41% | 67.59% |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( 0) | 23.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.55% ( 0.01) | 57.45% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SJKSJK | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Oulu | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | IlvesIlves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | HakaHaka | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | KTP | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | Inter Turku | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | LahtiLahti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
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