SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Honka |
35.67% ( 0.2) | 27.63% ( 0.26) | 36.7% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( -0.99) | 56.85% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( -0.8) | 77.77% ( 0.8) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.37) | 30.37% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.44% ( -0.44) | 66.56% ( 0.44) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( -0.76) | 29.73% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.21% ( -0.93) | 65.79% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | SJKSJK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Oulu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 2 | IlvesIlves | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | HakaHaka | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 4 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 5 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
| 6 | KTP | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Oulu | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | HakaHaka | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | IlvesIlves | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | KTP | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 15 |
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