SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
43.06% ( 0.71) | 26.13% ( -0.13) | 30.81% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% ( 0.31) | 51.89% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( 0.27) | 73.64% ( -0.27) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.49) | 23.93% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.85% ( 0.7) | 58.15% ( -0.7) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.25) | 31.1% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.58% ( -0.29) | 67.42% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | SJKSJK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Oulu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 2 | IlvesIlves | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | HakaHaka | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 4 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 5 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
| 6 | KTP | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Oulu | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | HakaHaka | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | IlvesIlves | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | KTP | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 15 |
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