SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | SSV Ulm |
59.24% ( 0.01) | 21.81% ( 0.03) | 18.95% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( -0.19) | 44.09% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0.18) | 66.47% ( 0.18) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% ( -0.06) | 14.52% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.47% ( -0.11) | 42.53% ( 0.12) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% ( -0.15) | 37.07% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% ( -0.15) | 73.86% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | SSV Ulm |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 59.24% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 18.95% |
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