SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSV Ulm win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSV Ulm win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSV Ulm would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
37.71% ( 0.29) | 25.69% ( -0.06) | 36.6% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( 0.25) | 48.78% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.23) | 70.88% ( -0.23) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( 0.27) | 25.31% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.92% ( 0.38) | 60.08% ( -0.38) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( -0.02) | 25.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( -0.02) | 60.93% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.6% |
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