Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Magdeburg	Draw	Nuremberg
54.85% ( 0.25)	21.72% ( -0.08)	23.43% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 61.03% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.28% (

0.21)

37.72% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.04% (

0.22)

59.96% (

-0.22)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

0.15)

13.77% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.93% (

0.29)

41.07% (

-0.29)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78% (

-0.02)

29.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83% (

-0.02)

65.17% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Magdeburg 54.85%

Nuremberg 23.43%

Draw 21.72%

Magdeburg	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 54.85%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.72%	1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 23.43%