SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Kaiserslautern win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
54.85% ( 1.44) | 22.64% ( -0.22) | 22.51% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( -0.37) | 43.06% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( -0.37) | 65.46% ( 0.36) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.36) | 15.6% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.41% ( 0.66) | 44.59% ( -0.67) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -1.27) | 32.97% ( 1.27) |
