SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Nuremberg | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Jahn Regensburg | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 5 | -1 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 22.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
22.04% ( 0.17) | 21.27% ( 0) | 56.69% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.74% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.74% ( 0.22) | 37.26% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.53% ( 0.24) | 59.47% ( -0.24) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( 0.28) | 30.14% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.72% ( 0.33) | 66.28% ( -0.33) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 0.02) | 13.06% ( -0.02) |
