SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | St Pauli | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Jahn Regensburg | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
57.18% ( -0.11) | 22.57% ( -0.11) | 20.25% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( 0.77) | 45.55% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% ( 0.73) | 67.88% ( -0.73) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( 0.23) | 15.69% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.42) | 44.74% ( -0.42) |
| Hansa Rostock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( 0.67) | 36.55% ( -0.67) |
