Uruguay 1-0 Peru - World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage - Football

Mar 24, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

Uruguay

1 - 0

Peru

De Arrascaeta (42')
Pellistri (72'), Suarez (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

Last Six:

Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Uruguay vs. Panama
Saturday, June 11 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Peru

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

A closely-fought contest is set to take place in Montevideo, though Uruguay will head into this fixture as favourites given their star names such as Suarez and Cavani can be called upon. Peru will likely cause problems in the final third, but we believe the hosts possess greater firepower in attack which should see them outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Peru
55.5%	25.21%	19.29%

Both teams to score 44.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95%

57.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06%

77.94%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43%

20.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.9%

53.1%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.75%

44.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.68%

80.32%

Score Analysis

Uruguay 55.5%

Peru 19.29%

Draw 25.2%

Uruguay	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.89% 4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.5%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.29%

Subscribe to our Newsletter

Loading ...

Failed to load data.

Thursday's International Friendlies predictions including Portugal vs. Nigeria

1 Ronaldo: 'I do not know whether I will leave Man United'

2 Neymar: 'It is a pleasure to play alongside Mbappe, Messi'

NEW

3 Preview: Halifax vs. Boreham Wood - prediction, team news, lineups

NEW

4 Ronaldo opens up on difficult relationship with Ten Hag

5 Sergio Busquets 'prefers MLS move'

6 Preview: Colchester vs. Doncaster - prediction, team news, lineups

7 Endrick's father plays down Real Madrid speculation

8 Sadio Mane ruled out of World Cup

9 Preview: Port Vale vs. Charlton - prediction, team news, lineups

10 Messi hints at Paris Saint-Germain stay amid Barcelona talk

11

Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	14	12	1	1	33	11	22	37
2	Manchester City Man City	14	10	2	2	40	14	26	32
3	Newcastle United Newcastle	15	8	6	1	29	11	18	30
4	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	15	9	2	4	31	21	10	29
5	Manchester United Man Utd	14	8	2	4	20	20	0	26
6	Liverpool	14	6	4	4	28	17	11	22
7	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	14	6	3	5	23	19	4	21
8	Chelsea	14	6	3	5	17	17	0	21
9	Fulham	15	5	4	6	24	26	-2	19
10	Brentford	15	4	7	4	23	25	-2	19
11	Crystal Palace	14	5	4	5	15	18	-3	19
12	Aston Villa	15	5	3	7	16	22	-6	18
13	Leicester City Leicester	15	5	2	8	25	25	0	17
14	Bournemouth	15	4	4	7	18	32	-14	16
15	Leeds United Leeds	14	4	3	7	22	26	-4	15
16	West Ham United West Ham	15	4	2	9	12	17	-5	14
17	Everton	15	3	5	7	11	17	-6	14
18	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	15	3	4	8	11	30	-19	13
19	Southampton	15	3	3	9	13	27	-14	12
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16	10