Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
