Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
