SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Chile had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Chile win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Uruguay in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Uruguay |
| 32.19% | 22.95% | 44.86% |
| Both teams to score 64.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.07% | 36.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.89% | 59.11% |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% | 22.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.99% | 47.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Uruguay |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 4.22% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.28% Total : 44.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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