Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Bala Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-2 New Saints
Tuesday, August 30 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 30 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Aberystwyth Town | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Airbus UK Broughton | 4 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Bala Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Bala Town | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Newtown AFC | 4 | -4 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Bala Town |
20.48% ( -5.76) | 22.94% ( -1.66) | 56.58% ( 7.42) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -1.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% ( 1.22) | 46.86% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( 1.13) | 69.11% ( -1.13) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( -4.52) | 37.06% ( 4.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.16% ( -4.77) | 73.84% ( 4.77) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( 3.25) | 16.35% ( -3.25) |
