SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Aberystwyth Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Airbus UK Broughton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bala Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Aberystwyth Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Airbus UK Broughton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bala Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airbus UK Broughton win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
67.24% ( 2.59) | 18.68% ( -0.92) | 14.08% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% ( 0.72) | 38.93% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( 0.76) | 61.24% ( -0.76) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.33% ( 0.88) | 10.67% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.45% ( 1.94) | 34.55% ( -1.94) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( -1.78) | 39.93% ( 1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.41% ( -1.67) | 76.59% ( 1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.47)4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.17)Other @ 4.4% Total : 67.24% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.68% | 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.75% Total : 14.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 75 | 60 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 22 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Airbus UK BroughtonAirbus UK | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 66 | -53 | -2 |
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