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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 18, 2023 at 10.45pm UK
Parque Cincuentenario Juan Gaspar Prandi
Plaza Colonia
2 - 1
Nacional
Fernandez (56'), Ebere (81')
Villalba (3'), Fernandez (13'), Brun (80'), Nicolas Brun Betancur (80'), Greising (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zabala (85')
Montiel (22'), Fagundez (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+7')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Cerro Largo
Friday, February 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.37%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawNacional
15.95% (0.569 0.57) 23.06% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 60.98% (-0.527 -0.53)
Both teams to score 44.27% (1.288 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (1.075 1.08)53.83% (-1.08 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.898 0.9)75.29% (-0.901 -0.9)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.53% (1.431 1.43)46.47% (-1.435 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.91% (1.073 1.07)82.08% (-1.078 -1.08)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (0.199 0.2)17.29% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37% (0.351 0.35)47.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 15.96%
    Nacional 60.97%
    Draw 23.06%
Plaza ColoniaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.16% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.14% (0.184 0.18)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.06% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 0.93% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.96%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.345 -0.35)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 14.1% (-0.5 -0.5)
0-2 @ 12.37% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 7.24% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 5.55% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 3.18% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.121 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 60.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Maldonado
Monday, February 6 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-3 Cerrito
Sunday, October 23 at 4.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Plaza Colonia
Monday, October 17 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-2 Torque
Wednesday, October 12 at 4.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, October 9 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Cerro Largo
Friday, February 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Liverpool
Monday, February 6 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-4 Nacional
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Danubio
Sunday, October 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, October 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Albion 0-1 Nacional
Thursday, October 13 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1Boston RiverBoston River32013216
2Defensor SportingDefensor31205235
3La Luz31204315
4PenarolPenarol31204315
5FenixFenix31203215
6River PlateRiver Plate31201015
7Montevideo City TorqueTorque31113304
8LiverpoolLiverpool31111104
9DanubioDanubio31022203
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers310225-33
11NacionalNacional20202202
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado20201102
13Racing de MontevideoRacing302112-12
14Cerro Largo302124-22
15CerroCerro201123-11
16Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201101-11
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor7421115614
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7331106412
3DanubioDanubio732264211
4PenarolPenarol731399010
5Boston RiverBoston River73048719
6River PlateRiver Plate723257-29
7Montevideo City TorqueTorque72238808
8La Luz7115617-114
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol15104125111434
2NacionalNacional1585228111729
3Defensor SportingDefensor1567227141325
4Cerro Largo156721310325
5LiverpoolLiverpool156542419523
6Montevideo WanderersWanderers156541612423
7River PlateRiver Plate155551719-220
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado155551823-520
9La Luz155462327-418
10CerroCerro153751316-316
11Montevideo City TorqueTorque153571524-916
12Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia154471525-1016
13DanubioDanubio153662019115
14Racing de MontevideoRacing153661317-415
15Boston RiverBoston River152671523-812
16FenixFenix153391123-1212
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